Risky Weather

Comparing Models & Assessing Uncertainty

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--°
--% Chance of precipitation

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--°
--% Chance
Day Model A Model B
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Chance of precipitation
0-29% Unlikely
30-59% Possible
60-79% Likely
80-100% Very Likely
🎯 Understanding Model Disagreement
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When models disagree significantly, forecast uncertainty is high. Look for 🤔 (high uncertainty) or 🔀 (moderate uncertainty) icons next to days below.

Temperature difference >5°C: Plan for a wide range
Rain difference >30%: One model sees rain, another doesn't
Models agree closely: High confidence forecast

Status: Init